Appendix D Maryland Department of Planning Draft Centreville Development Capacity Analysis

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Appendix D
Maryland Department of Planning (MDP)
DRAFT Centreville Development Capacity Analysis
April 12, 2007
Maryland's local governments committed to performing the Development Capacity
Analysis as part of their comprehensive plan updates via the Development Capacity
Analysis Local Government MOU (signed by the Maryland Municipal League and
Maryland Association of Counties in August, 2004) and the Development Capacity
Analysis Executive Order (signed by Governor Ehrlich in August, 2004).
These agreements were commitments to implement the recommendations made by the
Development Capacity Task Force, which are outlined in their July, 2004 report (the full
report is available at: http://www.mdp.state.md.us/develop_cap.htm)
See the report mentioned above for a full description of the analysis' methodology and its
caveats. MDP's analysis, while not perfect, was endorsed by the Development Capacity
Task Force and many local governments. This analysis produces estimates of the number
of dwelling units to be built by build-out based on existing zoning, land use, parcel data,
sewer service, and information about un-buildable lands. This analysis does not account
for school, road, or sewer capacity. The estimates are focused on the capacity of the land
to accommodate future growth.
Background and Trend Data
In 2004, the Town of Centreville had an estimated population of 2,534 persons. The
Town has experienced its greatest rate of growth ever from 2000 to 2004. Centreville's
share of the County's total population has also been increasing recently.1 Queen Anne's
County is projected to grow by approximately 16,450 people from 2005 to 2030, a rate of
36%. As a result, the Town can reasonably expect continued high rates of growth.
Capacity Analysis
MDP ran one scenario for the Town of Centreville’s development capacity analysis. The
analysis is based on current town boundaries as of February 2007 and does not include
any growth areas or special infill areas. It is based on current Town zoning. See attached
Table 1 for assumed density yields for each zoning classification.
This analysis shows a total capacity inside the Town’s boundaries of 1,142 households.
Much of that capacity, 722 households, is found on a few large parcels (14 parcels that
cover 364 acres). The majority of the rest of the capacity (415 households) can be found
on small parcels that are less than 2 acres in size. The attached Map 1 shows the
distribution of capacity within the Town of Centreville. Only those parcels that have
potential future capacity are shown.
1 Information from Draft Centreville Comprehensive Plan, 2006
Centreville Community Plan D-1 March, 2009

The following Table 2 shows those zoning classifications that have future development
capacity. The low density R-1 zone has by far the most capacity with 1,009 potential
households at buildout. While this zone is low density at 3 dwelling units per acre, it
provides the most capacity due to its large size of 360 acres.
Table 2. Capacity by Zone
Zoning Potential Capacity
(in households)
AG 7
R-1 1,009
R-2 90
R-3 36
Total 1,142
Centreville Community Plan D-2 March, 2009